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Most UK landlords will be using fixed rate mortgages, but there’s good news on the horizon for those who aren’t. New analysis from wealth manager, Quilter, suggests that monthly mortgage payments could fall by around 25% by the end of 2023.
How does this affect landlords?
For affected landlords, this potential drop in mortgage costs could significantly increase cash flow, allowing them to increase profits or reinvest finances back into their rental property. For example, by using the additional income to pay for property repairs, improvements, or even to purchase additional rental properties.
Moreover, landlords may be able to consider mortgage repayment strategies to pay off their mortgages faster by making higher monthly payments or increasing their repayment frequency.
What evidence suggests the 25% drop?
Recent statistics released by the UK government’s house price index indicate that the average cost of a property in the country was £294,910 in November 2022. Mortgage rates surged to roughly 6% in the aftermath of the mini-budget, adding to the already high cost of investing in new properties.
However, it is anticipated that house prices will fall by 8% in November 2023 as predicted by Halifax.
The director of Halifax Mortgages, Kim Kinnaird, said “We expected that the squeeze on household incomes from the rising cost of living and higher interest rates would lead to a slower housing market, particularly compared to the rapid growth of recent years,”
Halifax predicted that mortgage rates will continue to decline, potentially hitting 4%. As a result, the average UK house price could fall to £271,317, leading to an estimated 25% decrease in monthly mortgage payments compared to the previous year, with payments amounting to £1,145.
Karen Noye, mortgage expert at Quilter says:
“Rising mortgage rates have played a significant role in the affordability of buying a first home or moving home, and for many these costs were pushed to unaffordable highs. It is therefore a real positive that looking forward we can hope to see such a significant dip in monthly mortgage payments by the end of the year should house prices and mortgage rates continue to fall as expected.
The potential reduction in mortgage costs could make it easier for landlords to obtain new mortgages or refinance their existing mortgages. With lower interest rates, landlords may be able to secure more favorable loan terms or lower monthly payments. Additionally, with a lower mortgage payment, landlords may be able to increase their borrowing capacity, allowing them to expand their property portfolios.
Whilst substantial evidence points towards a fall in mortgage rates, this is still vulnerable to many different factors such as inflation, government intervention, the type of property and location. It is not impossible that mortgage rates will rise during 2023, and landlords should stay cautious and up-to-date with new developments as the year progresses.